US GDP Analysis

GDP = C + I + G + (X−M)

Last updated: Oct 1, 2026 1:31 AM

Nominal Growth vs PCE Inflation

Nominal GDP (YoY)

6.31%

Quarter of 2026-04-01

PCE Inflation (YoY)

3.42%

As of 2026-08-01

Real Growth Gap

2.89%

Output growing faster than prices

Current-dollar GDP growth minus PCE price inflation — how much of headline growth is real output rather than higher prices.

GDP Growth

2.2%

%

Retail Sales

1.2%

%

Leading Economic Index

-0.0

Index

Government Spending

$5626.6B

Billion USD

Declining trend, down 0.2 percentage points recently

Jan 26Apr 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26Jan 272.2%2.3%2.4%2.5%2.6%
  • Actual

Upcoming Key Economic Events

Real Retail Sales (YoY)

Monthly

Thursday, Oct 1, 6:30 AM

0

DAYS

04

HOURS

58

MINS

16

SECS

HCOB Manufacturing PMI

Monthly

Thursday, Oct 1, 7:15 AM

0

DAYS

05

HOURS

43

MINS

16

SECS

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

Monthly

Thursday, Oct 1, 1:30 PM

0

DAYS

11

HOURS

58

MINS

16

SECS

TRADARS v3.0•Published: 10/1/2026 1:31:42 AM